One of two final clay tournaments of the year is at Palermo. Last year, Kaia Kanepi defeated crowd favorite Flavia Pennetta 6-4 6-3 in the Palermo final to win her first title. However, Kanepi will not be returning to Palermo to defend her title.
The three top seeds at Palermo are Italian. The top seed, Flavia Pennetta, won Palermo in 2009. She broke into the top 10 in 2009 as well. The second seed, Roberta Vinci is enjoying a great season and is fighting for her fourth title of the year. She is coming off a win at Budapest, another clay tournament. She is quite close to cracking the top 20 for the first time in her career. The third seed is Sara Errani who won Palermo in 2008. She was the runner up at Palermo in 2009. Other contenders for the title include Anabel Medina Garrigues who won a clay court title earlier this year at Estoril and Polona Hercog who just won Bastad.
My pick for the title is Roberta Vinci who has really blossomed this year. She is a clay court specialist, and she will have the home court advantage.
Monday, July 11, 2011
Sunday, July 10, 2011
Saturday, July 9, 2011
Bad Gastein Preview
There are two clay tournaments left in the year, and they are both international tournaments played on red clay. Neither tournament has a top ten player.
One of those two tournaments is at Bad Gastein in Austria. Not to be confused with Bastad, Bad Gastein is a skiing town near Salzburg. The top seed and favorite for the title is Julia Goerges. (Remember not to call her Georges or Gorgeous as you may not live to regret it- just ask Graeme Jones.) Goerges has really blossomed this year; she won Stuttgart beating French Open finalist Samantha Stosur and world number one Caroline Wozniacki along the way. She also achieved a career high world ranking of 16. She has a great flat serve and a great kick serve as well as a strong forehand. Her play style really suits the clay because she has very long strokes, and she has extra time to generate power off of both wings. It doesn't hurt her prospects that she's the defending champion here.
Other potential threats include Jarmila Gajdosova, the hard hitting Aussie and Lourdes Domingues Lino who won Bogota this year, another outdoor red clay event. Maria Jose Martinez Sanchez is another contender for the title as she is an excellent clay court player. She is excellent at net, and she won Rome in 2010. The top five seeds also include two players from the Czech Republic, Lucie Hradecka and Iveta Benesova, two very accomplished doubles players. Lucie Hradecka won the doubles title at Roland Garros 2011, and she has won 18 ITF singles titles. However, she has yet to make a dent in the WTA singles circuit. Iveta Benesova, another Czech lefty, has won two clay titles on the WTA tour. She hits quite flat off both sides. Although she's a good player, I see her going out early seeing as she is still celebrating her recent victory in mixed doubles at Wimbledon.
Stay tuned for my preview of Palermo, the other WTA tournament next week.
One of those two tournaments is at Bad Gastein in Austria. Not to be confused with Bastad, Bad Gastein is a skiing town near Salzburg. The top seed and favorite for the title is Julia Goerges. (Remember not to call her Georges or Gorgeous as you may not live to regret it- just ask Graeme Jones.) Goerges has really blossomed this year; she won Stuttgart beating French Open finalist Samantha Stosur and world number one Caroline Wozniacki along the way. She also achieved a career high world ranking of 16. She has a great flat serve and a great kick serve as well as a strong forehand. Her play style really suits the clay because she has very long strokes, and she has extra time to generate power off of both wings. It doesn't hurt her prospects that she's the defending champion here.
Other potential threats include Jarmila Gajdosova, the hard hitting Aussie and Lourdes Domingues Lino who won Bogota this year, another outdoor red clay event. Maria Jose Martinez Sanchez is another contender for the title as she is an excellent clay court player. She is excellent at net, and she won Rome in 2010. The top five seeds also include two players from the Czech Republic, Lucie Hradecka and Iveta Benesova, two very accomplished doubles players. Lucie Hradecka won the doubles title at Roland Garros 2011, and she has won 18 ITF singles titles. However, she has yet to make a dent in the WTA singles circuit. Iveta Benesova, another Czech lefty, has won two clay titles on the WTA tour. She hits quite flat off both sides. Although she's a good player, I see her going out early seeing as she is still celebrating her recent victory in mixed doubles at Wimbledon.
Stay tuned for my preview of Palermo, the other WTA tournament next week.
Wednesday, July 6, 2011
Caroline Wozniacki Retires
... from Bastad.
She was leading Sofia Arvidsson 6-2 0-1 when she retired from a shoulder injury. Apparently, it is just preventative; it's just a pulled muscle, so her serve won't be affected. However, she was in pain during the match, and she was having trouble hitting forehands. Here's to hoping she gets better in time for the US Open series and can do well at the US Open.
She was leading Sofia Arvidsson 6-2 0-1 when she retired from a shoulder injury. Apparently, it is just preventative; it's just a pulled muscle, so her serve won't be affected. However, she was in pain during the match, and she was having trouble hitting forehands. Here's to hoping she gets better in time for the US Open series and can do well at the US Open.
Monday, July 4, 2011
NBC Loses Wimbledon
NBC lost its rights to Wimbledon! That's good news considering that they showed numerous matches on tape delay. Most likely, Wimbledon will be shown mainly on ESPN with tape delayed coverage on the Tennis Channel. I for one am ecstatic because that means that I won't have to switch back and forth between ESPN and NBC. Also, I won't have to look for streams online.
What do you guys think?
What do you guys think?
Sunday, July 3, 2011
The Week After Wimbledon
Although Wimbledon is over, there is still a lot of tennis until the US Open. Immediately following Wimbledon, there are two weeks of clay tournaments. During the week beginning July fourth, there will be two WTA tournaments, Budapest and Bastad. Although the only top 20 player who will be playing next week is Caroline Wozniacki, there will still be some great matches.
Lets start with Budapest. Budapest is an international tournament, the new equivalent of a Tier III or Tier IV tournament. There is only one player who will be competing at Budapest who is in the top 32- the 25th ranked Roberta Vinci. Vinci comes into Budapest as the favorite since she has already won two international events on clay this year. I'd say she leaves Budapest with her third.
The other tournament is at Bastad. It's also an international tournament. There are three players in the top 32 who are participating in Bastad- Lucie Safarova, Flavia Pennetta and Caroline Wozniacki. Safarova is a dangerous lefty who has a great forehand but who has always been hindered by her lack of mental toughness. Flavia Pennetta is a former top 10 player who is also the top ranked player in doubles. Caroline Wozniacki is the top ranked player in singles. Although she favors hard courts, Caroline Wozniacki will be hard to beat here. She has already won two clay titles this year, and has a combined 6-1 head to head against Pennetta and Safarova.
Lets start with Budapest. Budapest is an international tournament, the new equivalent of a Tier III or Tier IV tournament. There is only one player who will be competing at Budapest who is in the top 32- the 25th ranked Roberta Vinci. Vinci comes into Budapest as the favorite since she has already won two international events on clay this year. I'd say she leaves Budapest with her third.
The other tournament is at Bastad. It's also an international tournament. There are three players in the top 32 who are participating in Bastad- Lucie Safarova, Flavia Pennetta and Caroline Wozniacki. Safarova is a dangerous lefty who has a great forehand but who has always been hindered by her lack of mental toughness. Flavia Pennetta is a former top 10 player who is also the top ranked player in doubles. Caroline Wozniacki is the top ranked player in singles. Although she favors hard courts, Caroline Wozniacki will be hard to beat here. She has already won two clay titles this year, and has a combined 6-1 head to head against Pennetta and Safarova.
Saturday, July 2, 2011
Wimbledon Final Pick- WTA
[5] Maria Sharapova vs [8] Petra Kvitova
I really don't know who is going to win this. I'm going to go with Kvitova in three just because I've been rooting for her the whole tournament.
Let's compare the two shot by shot:
Serve:
Sharapova's first serve isn't bad by any means. She's gone back to her old service motion, and she is serving in the 100's which is fine. However, she isn't really getting a high percentage of first serves in which will hurt her in this marriage because it will force her to go to her second serve which is what will really hurt her in this match. Sharapova's second serve is slower than her first serve, but it doesn't have much spin, so it is still a low margin shot. She had thirteen double faults during her match against Lisicki, and Kvitova has a better ROS than Lisicki, so Sharapova may feel like she needs to go for more on her second serve which will give her even more double faults.
Kvitova's serve is considered one of the best in the women's game. It isn't the fastest serve in the game, (her fastest serve at Wimbledon this year clocked in at 113 MPH) but it has variety. She has a great flat serve and a great slice serve, and both have great placement. She hits a lot of aces, and she can open up the court on the ad side with her slice serve out wide. Her second serve isn't bad either. Because she usually slices it, she can still start a point well off of her second serve.
Forehand:
Sharapova's forehand is a great shot. It is hit hard and deep, and she can hit it well on the run as well.
Kvitova's forehand is both her better side and her weaker side. She hits her forehand harder than her backhand, but her forehand often breaks down when she runs into rough spots. Although she normally hits pretty flat, she can add top spin at times.
Backhand:
Sharapova has a stronger backhand than Kvitova. She hits it harder and deeper. However, Kvitova has more variety on her backhand than Sharapova does. Kvitova has a good slice backhand that stays very low on the grass. She will want to use it to get Sharapova to make mistakes.
Return of Serve:
Both Sharapova and Kvitova will be aggressive when returning serve. Kvitova will likely have more success with her ROS because of Sharapova's weaker serve.
Netplay:
Since Sharapova almost never comes to net and Kvitova isn't terrible at net, Kvitova has the edge here. However, she needs to make sure that she hits better approach shots than she did in her semifinal match against Azarenka. Otherwise, she'll get passed every time she tries to come in.
Movement:
Neither player is a great mover, but Sharapova hits harder ground strokes on the run.
Mental Game:
Sharapova definitely has the edge here. Not only has she already won three slams, but she is a great competitor. She has the ability to induce short term memory loss on herself when she is down, and she won't give up even when her serve has completely deserted her.
Kvitova, on the other hand, doesn't have a great mental game. She often starts out great. However, in her two most recent matches, her level of play dropped significantly for a few games after the first set. She started to spray forehands, and she stopped moving her feet. Although she was able to recover in both of those matches, she cannot allow herself to gift Sharapova a single game in the final if she wants to win. Also, because she has never reached a major final before, it is unknown whether she'll be able to handle the pressure of playing such a huge match.
I really don't know who is going to win this. I'm going to go with Kvitova in three just because I've been rooting for her the whole tournament.
Let's compare the two shot by shot:
Serve:
Sharapova's first serve isn't bad by any means. She's gone back to her old service motion, and she is serving in the 100's which is fine. However, she isn't really getting a high percentage of first serves in which will hurt her in this marriage because it will force her to go to her second serve which is what will really hurt her in this match. Sharapova's second serve is slower than her first serve, but it doesn't have much spin, so it is still a low margin shot. She had thirteen double faults during her match against Lisicki, and Kvitova has a better ROS than Lisicki, so Sharapova may feel like she needs to go for more on her second serve which will give her even more double faults.
Kvitova's serve is considered one of the best in the women's game. It isn't the fastest serve in the game, (her fastest serve at Wimbledon this year clocked in at 113 MPH) but it has variety. She has a great flat serve and a great slice serve, and both have great placement. She hits a lot of aces, and she can open up the court on the ad side with her slice serve out wide. Her second serve isn't bad either. Because she usually slices it, she can still start a point well off of her second serve.
Forehand:
Sharapova's forehand is a great shot. It is hit hard and deep, and she can hit it well on the run as well.
Kvitova's forehand is both her better side and her weaker side. She hits her forehand harder than her backhand, but her forehand often breaks down when she runs into rough spots. Although she normally hits pretty flat, she can add top spin at times.
Backhand:
Sharapova has a stronger backhand than Kvitova. She hits it harder and deeper. However, Kvitova has more variety on her backhand than Sharapova does. Kvitova has a good slice backhand that stays very low on the grass. She will want to use it to get Sharapova to make mistakes.
Return of Serve:
Both Sharapova and Kvitova will be aggressive when returning serve. Kvitova will likely have more success with her ROS because of Sharapova's weaker serve.
Netplay:
Since Sharapova almost never comes to net and Kvitova isn't terrible at net, Kvitova has the edge here. However, she needs to make sure that she hits better approach shots than she did in her semifinal match against Azarenka. Otherwise, she'll get passed every time she tries to come in.
Movement:
Neither player is a great mover, but Sharapova hits harder ground strokes on the run.
Mental Game:
Sharapova definitely has the edge here. Not only has she already won three slams, but she is a great competitor. She has the ability to induce short term memory loss on herself when she is down, and she won't give up even when her serve has completely deserted her.
Kvitova, on the other hand, doesn't have a great mental game. She often starts out great. However, in her two most recent matches, her level of play dropped significantly for a few games after the first set. She started to spray forehands, and she stopped moving her feet. Although she was able to recover in both of those matches, she cannot allow herself to gift Sharapova a single game in the final if she wants to win. Also, because she has never reached a major final before, it is unknown whether she'll be able to handle the pressure of playing such a huge match.
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